The euphoria in the cryptocurrency market was quelled on Jan.11 as the majority of altcoins saw their prices decline by more than 20% as Bitcoin price sold off sharply.
After falling below the $40,000 support level on Jan. 10, selling pressure for Bitcoin (BTC) increased overnight and pushed the price of the top cryptocurrency as low as $30,229 before a soft support level was reached.
The rapid decline in price led to more than $2.7 billion worth of futures contracts being liquidated and the long candles on the Bitcoin price chart show that the cascade of liquidations occurred quickly as the price dropped from $41,000 to $32,229.
Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban used the market downturn as no opportunity to point out that the cryptocurrency market is identical to the internet stock bubble from the 1990s.
Cuban said that “Watching the cryptos trade, it’s exaclty like the internet stock bubble,” but he added that Bitcoin, Ether, and “a few others” will likely follow the path of Amazon and eBay and continue to see their valuations rise.
Those with a little more skin in the game, such as Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky, view the recent drop as a healthy price correction and Mashinsky hinted that there is a possibility of BTC dropping as low as $16,000 before resuming its upward trek.
Traditional markets feel the pressure
The traditional financial sector also found itself under pressure on Monday as the political situation in the United States continues to generate tension and uncertainty about the future of the country and the economy.
The S&P 500, Dow, and the NASDAQ all finished the day in the red, down 0.66%, 0.29%, and 1.55% respectively as big-tech and the FAANG stocks hit their lowest levels since Nov. 26.
Analysts say the market was due for a correction
Nearly every time BTC price falls by thousands of dollars, bears, doomers and nocoiners emerge from the netherscape to issue calls for the death of Bitcoin.
Considering that Bitcoin price rose from $17,586 on Dec. 11 to $41,950 in less than a month, David Lifchitz, CIO at ExoAlpha views this pullback as a “healthy correction by smart institutions who bought BTC from $20,000 on the way up to $30,000.”
Lifchitz told Cointelegraph:
“One worrying sign was not that Bitcoin price was rising, but its velocity, i.e. the speed at which it did move. From mid-December to end of December 2020, the median amplitude of the daily moves in Bitcoin doubled to 8.1%, then it almost doubled again from Jan.1st, 2021 to Jan.10th to 15.3%. The larger the amplitude, the more exchanges took place through the day between buyers and sellers. This is a healthy correction though to purge the excessive growth of the last 10 days, allowing Bitcoin to build a new base toward $50k and above.”
Hints at the driving force behind recent price movements could also be found through analyzing patterns emerging on social media.
Bitcoin price vs. daily sentiment. Source: TheTIE
According to Joshua Frank, CEO and founder of TheTie, an alternative data social analytics platform, the lack of Bitcoin Twitter mentions in December 2020 indicates that a small number of large investors were driving the price gains.
In private comments to Cointelegraph Frank said:
“On January third, both Bitcoin and crypto 24-hour tweet volume hit an all-time high. Retail interest has continued through the second week of January and monthly average Twitter conversations around Bitcoin are now at an all-time high in January. Unsurprisingly, this surge in Twitter activity has corresponded with a local top on Bitcoin.”
BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Coin360
Ether (ETH) price was also hard hit by today’s downturn, dropping as low as $914 before finding support. At the time of writing, ETH is down 16.33% and trading at $1,033. Out of the top 50 cryptocurrency projects, the only token currently trading in the green on the day is Neo (NEO), up 1.5% and trading at $22.52.
The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $847 billion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 68.9%.
Dogecoin, CryptoCurrency Reddit communities surge as crypto euphoria heats up
Published
40 mins ago
on
April 18, 2021
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With much of the market fixated on Bitcoin’s (BTC) sudden price correction over the weekend, retail interest in digital assets appears to be on the rise, according to the latest statistics from Reddit.
The r/dogecoin community added 145,859 weekly subscribers, according to Subreddit Stats. The gains are hardly surprising given DOGE’s dramatic rally over the past week. The meme-based cryptocurrency skyrocketed 400% during that period, bringing its yearly returns to an eye-watering 5,000%.
DOGE’s parabolic rally moderated over the weekend, with social media sentiment data from The TIE and Cointelegraph indicating more pain in the short term. That’s because price action is often correlated with social media engagement; a decline in the latter is sometimes a precursor to bearish price action in the near term.
Meanwhile, the r/CryptoCurrency community, which is devoted to all things digital assets, added 86,838 new subscribers during the week. New community members were welcomed by platinum award recipient “mirza1h” on Sunday. In a subreddit post, miraza1h said:
“Past week has been insane in the crypto world, so naturally things here weren’t like they normally are. Your curious posts/comments may have been ignored a bit. In the weekend things are a bit more chill, so feel free to ask us anything you want.
The user also introduced new subreddit followers to Moon, the native token of the r/CryptoCurrency community.
Much like DOGE, the overall cryptocurrency market limped into Sunday’s session, having declined by a cumulative $386 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. The digital-asset market cap briefly fell below $1.9 trillion before recovering to around $2 trillion.
Massive shakeouts are nothing new for seasoned cryptocurrency investors. Even during bull markets, declines of 20% or more are fairly common, especially after major rallies. Speculation about an abrupt decline in Bitcoin’s hash power and the possibility of U.S. regulatory action against crypto-friendly banks may have contributed to the decline on Sunday.
Even with the latest decline, the cryptocurrency market is still double the size it was in January when it first crossed the $1 trillion milestone.
Peak fear? Bitcoin funding rates crash to lowest levels in 7 months
Published
3 hours ago
on
April 18, 2021
By
The funding rate of Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped to levels not seen since September 2020 as the price of Bitcoin plummeted below $52,000 on April 18. Quant trader and analyst Lex Moskovski says it shows fear has returned to the market.
According to the data from Glassnode, the average Bitcoin futures funding rate across all exchange dropped to as low as around -0.03% on Sunday
What is funding rate and why does it dropping matter?
Bitcoin futures exchanges use a mechanism called “funding” to achieve balance in the market.
The way the mechanism works is simple: if there are more longs or buyers in the market, the funding rate rises, and vice versa.
As such, when the funding rate turns negative, it means the majority of the market is short-selling Bitcoin, indicating fear in the market.
Earlier this week, Bitcoin was hovering at around $64,000 in anticipation of the Coinbase public listing. At the lowest point of the day on April 18, BTC dropped to as low as $50,000.
From the day’s highest to lowest point, the price of Bitcoin dropped by almost 15% against the U.S. dollar.
The market sentiment can change so quickly because many traders use high leverage across major exchanges.
During the Coinbase public listing week, the funding rate of Bitcoin was stable at 0.1% to 0.15% on top futures exchanges like Binance and Bybit.
This shows that many traders were aggressively longing or buying Bitcoin, making the futures market incredibly overheated.
When this happens, the incentive to short sell Bitcoin massively increases and it puts the market at risk of a big cascade of liquidations.
There has been speculation over the past 48 hours that the abrupt drop in the hash rate of the Bitcoin blockchain network led to the price drop.
On April 16, major Chinese mining facilities and pools saw outages after China’s Xinjiang region experienced blackouts.
Consequently, the hash rate of Bitcoin dropped quickly thereafter, leading to concerns that it would hinder the market sentiment around BTC.
However, Adam Cochran, a partner at Cinneanhaim Ventures, said that the Bitcoin hash rate dip likely did not cause the price of BTC to drop. He said:
“The idea that a power outage last night in a mining region in China led to the dip in $BTC is utter nonsense, just like the spurious correlation graphs above. But even worse, when you run the math *there is no correlation* If someone is confident in a correlation and has enough data to make a graph, ask them for the receipts. If they have no idea how to run a regression test, then they don’t actually know if its correlated or not.”
If the Bitcoin price drop was not caused by fundamental factors but rather was purely technical as a result of an overcrowded futures market, the case for a swift recovery strengthens.
In the short term, it is favorable for Bitcoin to remain at around the $56,000 support area, as the futures market finds composure and the funding rates stabilize.